21 forecasters

Will a state actor conduct an ASAT test that results in space debris between 2021 - 2023?

99%chance

99%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 8, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2023

Resolved:

Nov 16, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 9, 2021

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

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