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Winner of 2021 California recall election

Question

From Wikipedia,

The 2021 California gubernatorial recall election is an upcoming special election on whether to recall Governor Gavin Newsom scheduled to be held on September 14, 2021, with every voter set to receive a mail-in ballot, beginning August 16, 2021.

Before this election, the only other gubernatorial recall attempt in California that qualified for a general vote happened in 2003, which resulted in Gray Davis being replaced by actor Arnold Schwarzenegger. The recall election will be the fourth gubernatorial recall election ever held in the United States. This election is the result of one of at least 54 attempts in California's history to remove an elected governor from office and one of six efforts to remove Newsom.

Who will win the 2021 California gubernatorial recall election if Newsom is recalled?

If Gavin Newsom is not successfully recalled (removed) following the 2021 California gubernatorial recall election, then this question resolves ambiguously. Otherwise, it resolves according to the number indicated next to each candidate below:

Categories:
Elections – U.S.

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