Question

What will be the 7-day moving average of vaccine doses administered in Virginia on 21 August?

Resolved:15.01k

1 comment1

Total Forecasters17

Community Prediction

15.1k

(13.9k - 16.4k)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>30k
community	13.92k	15.15k	16.35k	0.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	13.92k	—
median	15.15k	—
upper 75%	16.35k	—
Upper bound
>30k	0.3%	—

What was the final result?15.01k

Community Baseline Score

83.9

Community Peer Score

2.9

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Aug 11, 2021

Closes:

Aug 15, 2021

Resolves:

Aug 26, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 12, 2021

Virginia Lightning Round Tournament

Virginia Lightning Round: Week 1

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

43%

What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?

579

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k