Question

Will a NATO nuclear-sharing country sign the TPNW by the end of 2022?

Resolved:No

3 comments3

Total Forecasters52

Community Prediction

10%

(7% - 15%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

2.0

Authors:

crule

Opened:

Aug 15, 2021

Closes:

Jan 27, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 17, 2021

Geopolitics

Politics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

2021-2025 Leaderboard

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Newsweek•Jun 26, 2025

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Al Jazeera•Jun 24, 2025

Trump, NATO to gather for summit amid rising global tensions

PBS NewsHour•Jun 23, 2025

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