Question

Will a NATO nuclear-sharing country sign the TPNW by the end of 2022?

Resolved:No

3 comments3

Total Forecasters52

Community Prediction

10%

(7% - 15%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

72.3

Community Peer Score

2.0

Authors:

crule

Opened:

Aug 15, 2021

Closes:

Jan 27, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 17, 2021

Geopolitics

Politics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Who is attending the NATO summit and what’s on the agenda?

Al Jazeera•Jun 24, 2025

Trump, NATO to gather for summit amid rising global tensions

PBS NewsHour•Jun 23, 2025

Ahead of this week's NATO summit, Europe is uncertain about its old ally, the U.S.

•Jun 23, 2025

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