Question
When will the Taliban take Kabul?
Resolved:15 Aug 2021 13:00Total Forecasters77
Community Prediction
16 Aug 2021 15:58
(14 Aug 2021 01:31 - 21 Aug 2021 01:36)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 14 Aug 2021 01:31 | — |
| median | 16 Aug 2021 15:58 | — |
| upper 75% | 21 Aug 2021 01:36 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >30 Dec 2022 | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?15 Aug 2021 13:00
Community Baseline Score
6.2
Community Peer Score
2.1
Authors:
Opened:Aug 13, 2021
Closes:Oct 1, 2021
Resolves:Oct 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 13, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Aug 13, 2021
Closes:Oct 1, 2021
Resolves:Oct 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 13, 2021