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Will the last Jew in Afghanistan leave?

Question

From the Israel National News on April 4th, 2021,

The man who has been known as the last Jew in Afghanistan for well over a decade is leaving for Israel, fearing that the U.S. military’s promise to leave the country will leave a vacuum to be filled with radical groups such as the Taliban.

“I will watch on TV in Israel to find out what will happen in Afghanistan,” Zabulon Simantov told Arab News on Sunday.

Simantov, 61, said he will leave after this year’s High Holidays season in the fall.

His wife, a Jew from Tajikistan, and their two daughters have lived in Israel since 1998. But Simantov has stayed in his native Afghanistan to tend to its lone synagogue, located in the capital Kabul, through decades of violence and political turmoil, including a period of Taliban rule and the country’s war with the U.S.

Will Zablon Simintov, the last remaining Jew in Afghanistan, leave before Kabul is captured by the Taliban?

Suppose before January 1st, 2023, the Taliban is widely reported to have captured Kabul, the capital of Afghanistan, and in particular, the presidential palace. Then, this question resolves positively if Zablon Simintov is reported to be residing in some nation other than Afghanistan. If Simintov is reported to have been en route to another country when the presidential palace is captured, then this question resolves positively. Otherwise, it reports negatively.

In the event that the Metaculus admins do not know the whereabouts of Zablon Simintov at the time of Kabul's capture, then the resolution will be pending until this information is known. If the Taliban does not capture Kabul before January 1st 2023, this question resolves ambiguously.

[edit 2021-08-15] Sylvain added the phrase "If Simintov is reported to have been en route to another country when the presidential palace is captured, then this question resolves positively. "

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