135 forecasters

Will at least 2 US diplomats die or be captured in the evacuation of Kabul?

10%chance

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 10% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 14, 2021

Closes:

Aug 30, 2021

Resolved:

Sep 19, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 14, 2021