29 comments
146 forecasters
Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025?
3%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 3% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 18, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolved:Jan 14, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 18, 2021
Will the White House revoke the media credentials of reporters from two media outlets before 2026?
75% chance
141
Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?
1% chance
2.1k
When will the New York Times publish an article that it claims or acknowledges is 100% written by AI?
14 forecasters