Question
How many members will the next Bundestag have?
Resolved:736Total Forecasters33
Community Prediction
786
(722 - 853)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 721.7 | — |
| median | 786.1 | — |
| upper 75% | 852.7 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1200 | 0.7% | — |
What was the final result?736
Community Baseline Score
43.8
Community Peer Score
3.0
Authors:
Opened:Aug 16, 2021
Closes:Sep 26, 2021
Resolves:Oct 16, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 18, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Aug 16, 2021
Closes:Sep 26, 2021
Resolves:Oct 16, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 18, 2021