23 comments
90 forecasters
Will marijuana be legal for recreational use in a supermajority of these strongly Republican US states before 2041?
90%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 18, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2041
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 19, 2021
How many states will have legalized medical or recreational use of psilocybin before 2045?
24.9 states
(17.4 - 40.5)
24.9 states
(17.4 - 40.5)
38 forecasters
Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?
45% chance
50
If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?
17% chance
54