Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
12
comments
161
forecasters
When will the next fully autonomous car fatality occur?
Latest estimate
Oct 2019
Share
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments
Timeline
Question Info
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
Follow
embed
Authors:
devong.tucker
Opened:
Apr 12, 2018
Closed:
Oct 31, 2018
Scheduled resolution:
Dec 30, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:
Apr 12, 2018
Economy & Business
Technology
Artificial Intelligence
2018 Leaderboard
Similar Questions
When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?
Sep 2072
(May 2056 - 2097)
Sep 2072
(May 2056 - 2097)
53
forecasters
When will an autonomous car defeat human-driven cars in an official Formula 1 race?
Oct 2039
(Apr 2037 - Feb 2042)
Oct 2039
(Apr 2037 - Feb 2042)
7
forecasters
When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?
L3
15 Apr 2021
L4
20 Oct 2020 11:00
L5
04 Aug 2029
216
forecasters
Show More Questions