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82 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
49%chance
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Opened:Aug 21, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2124
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 23, 2021
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?
2% chance
182
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
25% chance
287
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
23% chance
225