Question
What percentage of black voters will vote for a Republican president in the 2024 US presidential election?
Resolved:13Total Forecasters57
Community Prediction
15.6
(11.6 - 21)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 11.61 | — |
| median | 15.6 | — |
| upper 75% | 20.95 | — |
What was the final result?13
Community Baseline Score
89.4
Community Peer Score
17.0
Authors:
Opened:Oct 13, 2021
Closes:Nov 3, 2024
Resolves:Dec 31, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 14, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Oct 13, 2021
Closes:Nov 3, 2024
Resolves:Dec 31, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 14, 2021