10 comments
57 forecasters
What percentage of black voters will vote for a Republican president in the 2024 US presidential election?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 13, 2021
Closes:Nov 3, 2024
Resolved:Jan 28, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 14, 2021
Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?
40% chance
82
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, how many US Supreme Court Justices will have been appointed by him on January 21, 2029?
24 forecasters
Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?
55% chance
136