19 comments
49 forecasters
Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?
42%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 3, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 5, 2021
Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?
10% chance
40
Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?
65% chance
64
Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
26% chance
26