🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many of Virginia's 35 local health districts will be described as being "in surge" in UVA modeling slides posted 10 September?

Resolved :2629.9
3
2
Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction29.9 (22.8 - 33.2)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
22.82
29.85
33.2

What was the final result?26

Community Baseline Score
5.6
Community Peer Score
31.8
Authors:
Metaculus-Partnerssrinivv
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
Virginia Lightning Round: Week 3
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
Virginia
University of Virginia
Local health departments in the United States

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