9 comments
51 forecasters
Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 14, 2021
Closes:Nov 1, 2024
Resolved:Jan 21, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 15, 2021
Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?
15% chance
128
Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?
0.5% chance
18
Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?
3 forecasters