Question

In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state?

Resolved :No

11 comments11

Total Forecasters86

Community Prediction

(1% - 7%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

79.9

Community Peer Score

16.8

Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Sep 2, 2021

Closes:

Nov 1, 2024

Resolves:

Dec 10, 2024

Elections

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Why the 2024 Election Shattered the Democratic Party | Opinion

Newsweek•Mar 19, 2025

A Red Wave Could Be Coming in 2026

PJ Media•Mar 18, 2025

Heating up: Newsom, Pritzker, Buttigieg make early moves in 2028 presidential race

FOX News•Mar 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?

1.4%

Will at least one US state secede from the Union before 31 December, 2030?

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

55%

Comments

? comments