8 comments
34 forecasters
In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 25, 2021
Closes:Jan 5, 2025
Resolved:Jan 7, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 27, 2021
Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?
15% chance
129
Will the House of Representatives seat a legislator who was not certified as the winner of their election before July 1, 2027?
5% chance
124
In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?
4 forecasters