🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many UC Berkeley undergraduates will test positive for covid this semester?

Resolved :473445
5
32
Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction445 (404 - 512)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1k
...
...
...
...
404.5
444.9
511.8
2.0%

What was the final result?473

Community Baseline Score
11.5
Community Peer Score
41.1
Authors:
arun2642
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
University of California, Berkeley
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology

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