Question
How many UC Berkeley undergraduates will test positive for covid this semester?
Resolved:473Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction
445
(404 - 512)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 404.5 | — |
| median | 444.9 | — |
| upper 75% | 511.8 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1000 | 2.0% | — |
What was the final result?473
Community Baseline Score
11.5
Community Peer Score
41.1
Authors:
Opened:Oct 3, 2021
Closes:Dec 1, 2021
Resolves:Dec 21, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 5, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Oct 3, 2021
Closes:Dec 1, 2021
Resolves:Dec 21, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 5, 2021