18 comments
138 forecasters
Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024?
45%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 45% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 1, 2021
Closes:Nov 5, 2024
Resolved:Nov 25, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 3, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will the Democrats control the House of Representatives at any point before Jan 3, 2027?
14% chance
21
Which party will hold a plurality in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 midterm elections?
443 forecasters
Which party will control the US Congress following the 2026 midterm elections?
23 forecasters