Question

When will the LDP lose its status as largest party in the House of Representatives of Japan?

Total Forecasters9
Community Prediction
Mar 2041
(Mar 2034 - Nov 2048)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%Mar 2034
medianMar 2041
upper 75%Nov 2048
Upper bound
>Dec 204921.2%
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 2, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 4, 2021