Question

Will mean log-odds outperform mean probability for the next 300 questions?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters12
Community Prediction
70%
(66% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 70%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
46.3
Community Peer Score
4.9
Authors:
Opened:Sep 16, 2021
Closes:Sep 30, 2021
Resolves:Jan 31, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 18, 2021