🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in Australia by the end of 2021?

Resolved :2.26k2.28k
5
18
Total Forecasters29
Community Prediction2.28k (2.16k - 2.44k)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>8k
...
...
...
...
2.155k
2.277k
2.442k
0.1%

What was the final result?2.26k

Community Baseline Score
64.8
Community Peer Score
9.0
Authors:
galen
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
Australia
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology
Australia women's national soccer team

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