M

Question

What will the space traveler fatality rate due to spacecraft anomalies be in the 2020's?

Total Forecasters26
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CDF

weight:
Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<0.00153.2%
Quartiles
lower 25%<0.001
median<0.001
upper 75%0.1776
Opened:Sep 23, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030

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