🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?

Resolved :Yes27%
32
48
Total Forecasters301
Community Prediction27% (20% - 36%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 27%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-71.1
Community Peer Score
44.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2018-2019 Leaderboard
US House of Representatives
2018 United States elections
Democratic Party (US)
2020 United States elections
Tom Steyer
2018 Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district special election
Impeachment of Bill Clinton
2020 US presidential election
Donald Trump

Comments

? comments