Question

By 1 November 2021 will the US Senate pass a bill extending the Child Tax Credit?

Resolved:No

10 comments10

Total Forecasters37

Community Prediction

19%

(18% - 25%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 19%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

42.6

Community Peer Score

6.0

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Sep 15, 2021

Closes:

Oct 16, 2021

Resolves:

Nov 3, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 17, 2021

Politics

2021 Leaderboard

TPC Finds The Senate’s Tax Cut Mostly Favors High-Income Households

Forbes•Jun 26, 2025

House And Senate Plans Boost Child Tax Credit, Not For Low-Income Families

Forbes•Jun 26, 2025

U.S. House of Representatives - Page 5

•Jun 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the 2017 TCJA Individual Tax Cuts Be Extended Using a "Current Policy" Baseline in Senate Reconciliation?

85%

What will happen next with respect to the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act's $7,500 tax credit for US individuals who purchase an EV (30D)?

Will the 2025 reconciliation bill reduce the taxation of Social Security income in tax year 2026?

20%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Sep 15, 2021

Closes:

Oct 16, 2021

Resolves:

Nov 3, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 17, 2021

Politics

2021 Leaderboard

TPC Finds The Senate’s Tax Cut Mostly Favors High-Income Households

Forbes•Jun 26, 2025

House And Senate Plans Boost Child Tax Credit, Not For Low-Income Families

Forbes•Jun 26, 2025

U.S. House of Representatives - Page 5

•Jun 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the 2017 TCJA Individual Tax Cuts Be Extended Using a "Current Policy" Baseline in Senate Reconciliation?

85%

What will happen next with respect to the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act's $7,500 tax credit for US individuals who purchase an EV (30D)?

Will the 2025 reconciliation bill reduce the taxation of Social Security income in tax year 2026?

20%