🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

By 2021-11-01 will the US FDA approve a COVID-19 vaccine for children aged 5-11?

Resolved :Yes63%
12
24
Total Forecasters60
Community Prediction63% (56% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 63%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
18.7
Community Peer Score
5.2
Authors:
johnnycaffeine
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
Food and Drug Administration
COVID-19 vaccine
Medicine
Immunology
Virology
Pfizer

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