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8
25
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25 forecasters
Economy & Business
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What will be the number of conflicts with significant impacts on U.S. interests by 2023?
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16 comments
15 forecasters
Civil Wars End in These Countries
South Sudan
result:
08 Aug 2023 12:00 UTC
Syria
result:
08 Dec 2024 UTC
Yemen
result:
04 Oct 2024 12:00 UTC
Libya
18 Apr 2029
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128 forecasters
10k+ US Conflict Deaths in 1 year by 2030
7.5%
chance
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Will the United States continue to be among the 20 countries with the largest deterioration in state stability over the 2019-2029 period, according to the Fragile States Index?
57.3%
chance
3 comments
11 forecasters
Will the US attack Iran again in the years up to 2032?
2027
40%
2028
30%
2029
10%
2030
8%
2031
7%
16 comments
143 forecasters
War between Egypt and Israel
2%
chance
5 comments
26 forecasters
1000 deaths from Afghani-Pakistani conflict
29%
chance
12 comments
71 forecasters
Global Conflict Death Rate
210 comments
231 forecasters
Civil War before 2036?
Sudan
result:
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
Democratic Republic of Congo
55%
51 others