🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

By 31 December 2021 will General Mark Milley stop serving as the 20th Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff?

Resolved :No7%
6
8
Total Forecasters41
Community Prediction7% (4% - 11%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 7%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
77.7
Community Peer Score
10.4
Authors:
johnnycaffeine
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
Politics
2021 Leaderboard
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff
China
Donald Trump
Mark A. Milley

Comments

? comments