Question
How many deaths will be caused by terrorism globally in 2021?
Resolved:11.526kTotal Forecasters16
Community Prediction
18.5k
(14k - 22.5k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 14.01k | — |
| median | 18.51k | — |
| upper 75% | 22.52k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >50k | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?11.526k
Community Baseline Score
-20.9
Community Peer Score
4.5
Authors:
Opened:Sep 30, 2021
Closes:Mar 1, 2024
Resolves:Mar 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 2, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Sep 30, 2021
Closes:Mar 1, 2024
Resolves:Mar 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 2, 2021