16 comments
31 forecasters
Will more than half of the remaining trades in the Trade Signal tournament make money?
40%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 40% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 19, 2021
Closes:Oct 27, 2021
Resolved:Oct 28, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 21, 2021
Will Metaculus, or a licensed derivative, be operated as a public site by a publicly traded company by 2030?
7% chance
58
Who will win the bet between Gary Marcus and Miles Brundage about the state of AI at the end of 2027?
76 forecasters
Where will ManticAI place in the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025 leaderboard?
11
(6 - 20)
11
(6 - 20)
48 forecasters