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31 forecasters

4

31 forecasters

Will more than half of the remaining trades in the Trade Signal tournament make money?

ResolvedNo

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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10 comments60 forecasters

Will Metaculus, or a licensed derivative, be operated as a public site by a publicly traded company by 2030?

15 comments81 forecasters

2027 AI Bet winner between Gary Marcus and Miles Brundage?

Miles Brundage12%

3 comments44 forecasters

US stock market crash of >10% in any week before 2027?

11 comments172 forecasters

AI system beat human pros in forecasting tournament by 2030?

42 comments78 forecasters

AI successfully making $1 million in retail

16 comments177 forecasters

Gary Marcus AGI bet 2030

13 comments797 forecasters

S&P 500 closes above 7,500 at end-2026?

6 comments49 forecasters

No Explosive Growth by 2043