Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
5
18
forecasters
4
5 comments
18 forecasters
AI Technical Benchmarks
4 more...
What will be the best perplexity score by a language model on the Penn Treebank (Word Level) by the end of 2024?
Follow
share
embed
community
19.9
result
Annulled
Annulled
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (5)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
8 comments
37 forecasters
Development of Human-Level Language Models
Current estimate
18 Feb 2024
8 comments
30 forecasters
Highest GPQA Diamond Score 2024 to 2027
1 comment
17 forecasters
Question Answering on Long Texts by 2030
Current estimate
96.4%
3 comments
25 forecasters
Question Answering on Long Texts by 2040
Current estimate
99%
26 comments
739 forecasters
Top ARC-AGI-2 score in 2026?
Current estimate
92.9
5 comments
10 forecasters
When will LLMs beat superforecasters at ForecastBench?
Current estimate
09 Feb 2028
8 comments
57 forecasters
Highest score among a selected subset of VideoGameBench on Jan 1, 2028?
Current estimate
42.6%
10 comments
53 forecasters
Billions of Param of Largest ML Model by 2030
Current estimate
1.29M B