Question
When will the next German government be formed?
Resolved:08 Dec 2021 03:00Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction
08 Dec 2021 11:06
(06 Dec 2021 12:02 - 10 Dec 2021 13:06)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 06 Dec 2021 12:02 | — |
| median | 08 Dec 2021 11:06 | — |
| upper 75% | 10 Dec 2021 13:06 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >26 Mar 2022 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?08 Dec 2021 03:00
Community Baseline Score
53.6
Community Peer Score
13.7
Authors:
Opened:Sep 29, 2021
Closes:Jan 23, 2022
Resolves:Jan 23, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 1, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Sep 29, 2021
Closes:Jan 23, 2022
Resolves:Jan 23, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 1, 2021