Question

What will the US murder rate be in 2030?

Total Forecasters41
Community Prediction
5.59 per 100,000
(4.32 per 100,000 - 7.07 per 100,000)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%4.321
median5.587
upper 75%7.075
Upper bound
>202.4%
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 5, 2021
Closes:Sep 27, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Dec 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 7, 2021