28 forecasters

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

75%chance

Forecast Timeline

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 4, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2060

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 3000

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 6, 2021