Question

By 31 December 2021, will any Chinese People's Liberation Army Air Force aircraft enter Taiwan's airspace without authorization?

Resolved:No
14
43
Total Forecasters83
Community Prediction
10%
(5% - 16%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score
8.4
Community Baseline Score
68.3
Authors:
johnnycaffeine
Opened:Oct 8, 2021
Closes:Dec 2, 2021
Resolves:Jan 3, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 10, 2021
Geopolitics
2021 Leaderboard