1 comment
29 forecasters
Will >2 countries have nuclear weapons offensively detonated on or over their territories by 2024, if any country offensively detonates a nuclear weapon by then?
34%chance
Annulled
The community gave this a 34% chance, and it resolved Annulled.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolved:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 9, 2021