22 comments
56 forecasters
Will the EU propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by 2025?
10%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 10% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 10, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolved:Jan 5, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 12, 2021
When will a European Union ban into non-commercial internal combustion engines take effect?
Dec 2039
(Feb 2037 - May 2043)
Dec 2039
(Feb 2037 - May 2043)
24 forecasters
What percent of spacecraft will satisfy post mission disposal regulations in the decade of 2020-2029?
60.5%
(52.4 - 68.9)
60.5%
(52.4 - 68.9)
9 forecasters
Will a mission to land a spacecraft on Europa launch by 2030?
5% chance
131