Question

Will the EU propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by 2025?

Resolved:No

22 comments22

Total Forecasters55

Community Prediction

10%

(0.1% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

58.9

Community Peer Score

6.0

Authors:

anosseir

Opened:

Nov 10, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 12, 2021

Politics

Space

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Technology

2021-2025 Leaderboard

When will a European Union ban into non-commercial internal combustion engines take effect?

Aug 2040

What percent of spacecraft will satisfy post mission disposal regulations in the decade of 2020-2029?

59.3

Will a mission to land a spacecraft on Europa launch by 2030?

10%

Authors:

anosseir

Opened:

Nov 10, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 12, 2021

Politics

Space

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Technology

2021-2025 Leaderboard

When will a European Union ban into non-commercial internal combustion engines take effect?

Aug 2040

What percent of spacecraft will satisfy post mission disposal regulations in the decade of 2020-2029?

59.3

Will a mission to land a spacecraft on Europa launch by 2030?

10%