Question

Will the US propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by January 20, 2025?

Resolved:No

1 comment1

Total Forecasters46

Community Prediction

(0.1% - 7.1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

78.9

Community Peer Score

7.7

Authors:

anosseir

Opened:

Nov 10, 2021

Closes:

Jan 20, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 20, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 12, 2021

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Will equipment to make fuel from CO2 and water be deployed on Mars and make at least 1 ton per week of rocket fuel (methane) before 2030?

2.5%

What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45V (hydrogen) tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?

Will NASA replace the Space Launch System (SLS) with another launch vehicle for its Artemis missions before 2030?

90%

Authors:

anosseir

Opened:

Nov 10, 2021

Closes:

Jan 20, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 20, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 12, 2021

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Will equipment to make fuel from CO2 and water be deployed on Mars and make at least 1 ton per week of rocket fuel (methane) before 2030?

2.5%

What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45V (hydrogen) tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?

Will NASA replace the Space Launch System (SLS) with another launch vehicle for its Artemis missions before 2030?

90%