Question
When will at least 10 countries formally recognize Somaliland as an independent state?
Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction
Sep 2041
(Sep 2031 - Sep 2052)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Sep 2031 | — |
| median | Sep 2041 | — |
| upper 75% | Sep 2052 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2069 | 10.6% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 10, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2070
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 12, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Dec 10, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2070
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 12, 2021