Question
When will at least 10 countries formally recognize Somaliland as an independent state?
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction
Dec 2043
(Oct 2033 - Mar 2055)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Oct 2033 | — |
| median | Dec 2043 | — |
| upper 75% | Mar 2055 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2069 | 12.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 10, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2070
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 12, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Dec 10, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2070
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 12, 2021