Question
When will the UK Labour Party next maintain a 10-point polling lead for a month?
Resolved:06 Sep 2022Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction
12 Dec 2022
(26 Sep 2022 22:33 - 29 Apr 2023)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 26 Sep 2022 22:33 | — |
| median | 12 Dec 2022 | — |
| upper 75% | 29 Apr 2023 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >31 Dec 2024 | 6.7% | — |
What was the final result?06 Sep 2022
Community Baseline Score
4.2
Community Peer Score
9.6
Authors:
Opened:Dec 16, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 18, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Dec 16, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 18, 2021