334 forecasters

Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?

25%chance

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 24, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 25, 2018

Natural Sciences

Nuclear Technology & Risks

How China Raced Ahead of the U.S. on Nuclear Power

New York Times•Oct 23, 2025

The US has a new roadmap for fusion energy, without the funds to back it up

Verge•Oct 18, 2025

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