Question

Will the Fed announce a slow-down in bond purchases from the current $120 billion per month before Jan. 1, 2022?

Resolved:Yes

5 comments5

Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction

81%

(73% - 85%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 81%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

10.8

Community Peer Score

3.5

Authors:

David_Roman

Opened:

Oct 21, 2021

Closes:

Dec 12, 2021

Resolves:

Dec 12, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 23, 2021

Economy & Business

2021 Leaderboard

Labor Market Risks Might Prompt Fed To Cut Rates Faster Than Planned

Forbes•Jun 21, 2025

US Bonds Rally Stalls as Powell Endorses a Patient Fed Approach

•Jun 19, 2025

Fed keeps rates steady, but sees fewer cuts next year on stagflation concerns

•Jun 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

22%

Will a new Federal Open Markets Committee member be appointed before any member's term is over and before January 20, 2029?

75%

Will the Trump administration impose significant federal price controls before Jan 20, 2029?

66%

Authors:

David_Roman

Opened:

Oct 21, 2021

Closes:

Dec 12, 2021

Resolves:

Dec 12, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 23, 2021

Economy & Business

2021 Leaderboard

Labor Market Risks Might Prompt Fed To Cut Rates Faster Than Planned

Forbes•Jun 21, 2025

US Bonds Rally Stalls as Powell Endorses a Patient Fed Approach

•Jun 19, 2025

Fed keeps rates steady, but sees fewer cuts next year on stagflation concerns

•Jun 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

22%

Will a new Federal Open Markets Committee member be appointed before any member's term is over and before January 20, 2029?

75%

Will the Trump administration impose significant federal price controls before Jan 20, 2029?

66%