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Question
How many HEMP attacks will occur by 2030, if at least one does?
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1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
10
Community Prediction
3.87
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Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1k
...
...
...
...
1.842
3.875
9.476
0.6%
Background Info
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Physics
Nuclear electromagnetic pulse
Military science
Electronics
United States
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Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Physics
Nuclear electromagnetic pulse
Military science
Electronics
United States
Submit Tags Feedback