20 forecasters

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by countries by 2050 will be on cities with >1500 people per km^2?

Current estimate

0.238%

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Authors:

Opened:

Oct 28, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 30, 2021